The hottest natural gas consumption has exploded,

2022-09-27
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Explosive growth in natural gas consumption and continuous amplification of import demand

a year-on-year increase of 30.4%! In August this year, China's natural gas consumption increased explosively again. At the "ECF international shale gas forum 2017 seventh Asia Pacific Shale Gas Summit" held in Shanghai a few days ago, experts said that the outbreak of the consumer market will drive the continuous expansion of import demand, and China's external dependence on natural gas will rise steadily

lack of oil and gas is the weakness of China's energy resources. With the continuous growth of domestic energy consumption demand, China's dependence on crude oil and natural gas imports has been rising in recent years

affected by the decline in domestic production and the surge in imports, China's dependence on foreign imports of crude oil rose to 65.4% in 2016, an increase of 4.6 percentage points over 2015. This level of external dependence has approached the historical peak of the United States (66%)

although China's natural gas production has maintained a rapid increase, the research progress in the preparation of bionic superhydrophobic packaging materials is growing, but the consumer market is growing more rapidly. Data released by the national development and Reform Commission showed that from January to August this year, 97.8 billion cubic meters of natural gas were produced and recycled in China, an increase of 10.8% year-on-year; Natural gas consumption was 150.4 billion cubic meters, an increase of 17.8% year-on-year; Natural gas imports reached 57billion cubic meters, an increase of 24.8% year-on-year

in 2016, China's dependence on natural gas imports has climbed to 35%. In the view of experts, the further increase of China's dependence on natural gas imports will be an inevitable trend. Under the background of global oversupply of natural gas resources, the safety of China's natural gas supply is not worth worrying too much

Zhang Yousheng, deputy director of the Energy Research Institute of the national development and Reform Commission, said that at present, China's natural gas accounts for about 6% of the primary energy structure, and according to the plan, it will strive to reach about 10% by 2020; Strive to increase to 15% by 2030. This means that China's natural gas consumption is expected to reach 700billion cubic meters by 2030. From a global perspective, natural gas demand in many European and American countries has reached a peak, with limited growth space. In contrast, China has become the growth pole of global natural gas demand. In recent years, the global natural gas market as a whole has been oversupplied, and China's natural gas import options have become more and more diverse

Huang Qing, the information director of China's gas industry chain of axis, said that at present, China's liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports are mainly from Australia, Qatar, Malaysia and other places, and it is expected that Canada and the United States will also become important LNG import gas sources in China in the future. However, the price of international natural gas spot trade fluctuates greatly, so enterprises should pay attention to strategies and avoid risks when purchasing at sea. For example, the price of imported LNG in China this summer is $5.5 per million British calorific value, and usually rises to about $9 in winter

Huang Qing said that at present, many international suppliers are optimistic about China's natural gas market and even hope to participate in the construction of China's LNG terminal. Usually, a large LNG terminal needs to cost 7billion to 10billion yuan. Attracting international suppliers to participate in shares is not only conducive to reducing capital pressure, but also to ensuring a stable gas source

according to experts, the explosive growth of natural gas in China this year is largely related to the process of "changing coal to gas". 2017 is the time node of many "coal to gas" projects, driving the emergence of a large number of new demand. In addition, this summer, domestic gas prices have phased economic advantages over oil prices, which also makes the off-season consumption of natural gas not light. However, driven by projects such as coal to gas and clean energy heating, the peak value of gas consumption has continued to rise in winter this year, with greater pressure on supply

policy and price are the two main factors affecting China's natural gas consumption. In recent years, the state has issued a series of policies in natural gas utilization, pricing mechanism, infrastructure construction and operation management to encourage, regulate and guide the healthy development of the natural gas industry. Among them, the 13th five year plan for China's energy development proposes to accelerate the implementation of "replacing coal with gas". During the 13th Five Year Plan period, an additional 45billion cubic meters of gas will be used to replace 89000 tons of steam in the lower part of the fuselage of coal-fired boiler 1. In terms of price, the international gas price is closely linked to the crude oil price. The crude oil price is in a stable fluctuation stage, and the gas price is expected to remain stable

Huang Qing said that at present, both price and policy factors will stimulate China's natural gas consumption to maintain a strong growth momentum in the next few years

from the perspective of China's own supply, the growth of conventional natural gas supply is relatively stable, and the supply of unconventional natural gas is also gradually developing

the achievements of the shale gas revolution in the United States are transforming it into a major natural gas exporter. In recent years, China has also made new breakthroughs in shale gas development. Zhang Dawei, director of the mineral resources reserve evaluation center of the Ministry of land and resources, said that China's shale gas production reached 7.882 billion cubic meters in 2016 and is expected to reach 10 billion cubic meters in 2017, ranking third in the world after the United States and Canada

China's shale gas development plan proposes to strive to achieve an output of 30billion cubic meters by 2020 and 80billion to 100billion cubic meters by 2030. "At present, the first customers of ixsenic technology are preparing to see the mass production of ixsenic technology. China's shale gas production target can be achieved, even conservative." Zhang Dawei said

since this year, China has made major breakthroughs in shale gas exploration and development along the Yangtze River. Up to now, the total proved geological reserves of shale gas in China are 764.3 billion cubic meters. Among them, Chongqing Fuling shale gas field has a total proved geological reserves of 600.8 billion cubic meters, making it the largest shale gas field outside North America

Zhang Yousheng said that China is deeply exploring new mechanisms for shale gas exploration and development and new modes of cooperative development. This year, the Ministry of land and resources commissioned the Guizhou provincial government to organize the auction of the Zheng'an block where the Anye 1 well is located, hitting the first hammer of China's shale gas auction. Other provinces and regions have also screened a number of shale gas exploration blocks for competitive transfer

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